New Delhi: Exit polls for the 2025 Delhi Assembly elections by two more agencies—Axis My India and Today’s Chanakya—have predicted a clear majority for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), a day after a dozen pollsters predicted the defeat of the ruling Aam Aadmi Party (AAP).
Axis My India has predicted 45-55 of Delhi’s 70 assembly seats for the BJP and 15-25 for the AAP, with 0-1 seats for the Congress.
Today’s Chanakya has predicted 51 ± 6 seats for BJP, 19 ± 6 for the AAP and 0 ± 3 for others, including the Congress.
In the 2020 assembly elections, the AAP had won 62 and the BJP 8 seats.
This time around, the BJP contested 68 seats while its NDA allies Janata Dal (United) and Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas) contested one seat each. Both the AAP and the Congress fielded candidates in all 70 seats.
The Axis My India exit poll predicted that the BJP and its allies would secure a vote share of 48 percent, as against 38.51 percent in 2020. For the AAP, the exit poll predicted a drop in its vote share from 53.57 percent in 2020 to 42 percent. The Axis My India exit poll further predicted a rise in the vote share of the Congress from 4.63 percent in 2020 to 7 percent.
Today’s Chanakya, meanwhile, predicted a vote share of 49 ± 3 percent for the BJP and its allies, 41 ± 3 percent for the AAP and 10 ± 3 percent for others, including the Congress.
The Axis My India exit poll also predicted that the BJP would register its best performance in assembly segments falling under the North West Delhi Lok Sabha constituency, where it could win as many as 9 of 10 seats. Similarly, in East Delhi and West Delhi Lok Sabha constituencies, the Axis My India exit poll predicted 8 seats for the BJP and 2 for the AAP.
Axis My India disclosed that 48 of its surveyors collectively interviewed 13,062 respondents for the exit poll.
In assembly segments falling under the New Delhi Lok Sabha constituency, Axis My India has predicted 7 seats for the BJP. Among these seats is the New Delhi assembly seat where AAP national convener and former Delhi CM Arvind Kejriwal is on the ballot.
Further, Axis My India has indicated that the BJP appears to have garnered maximum support of 52 percent from senior citizens (61 and above), while the AAP’s support base was highest (47 percent) in the 26-35 age group.
On Wednesday, at least six exit polls had predicted a majority for the BJP in the Delhi Assembly elections, with one other predicting a close contest between BJP and AAP.
In the weeks leading up to the Delhi assembly polls, the AAP had launched an aggressive publicity campaign centred around its set of “guarantees”.
The BJP, which has remained out of power in Delhi since 1998, too focused on ‘Modi ki Guarantee’. The BJP also tried to capitalise on the anti-incumbency sentiment against the AAP by highlighting its failure to clean the Yamuna or improve the city’s poor road infrastructure.
Counting of votes will take place on 8 February.
(Edited by Amrtansh Arora)
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